机器学习与优化算法在煤与瓦斯突出预测中的研究进展

Research progress of machine learning and optimization algorithms in coal and gas outburst prediction

  • 摘要: 【目的】综述了煤与瓦斯突出预测中的主要技术,包括机器学习和优化算法的应用,重点介绍了目前面临的技术挑战及其解决方案,并提出了未来的研究方向。现有研究表明,机器学习技术,如支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)、神经网络(ANN)及深度学习模型,已被广泛应用于瓦斯浓度预测的实时评估中。机器学习模型能够有效处理大规模数据集,分析数据中的非线性关系,提高预测准确性和效率。然而,数据不足、样本不平衡和小样本问题仍然是煤与瓦斯突出预测中面临的主要挑战。【方法】为解决这些问题,提出通过数据增强、数据清洗和跨矿井数据共享改善数据质量;采用重新采样技术、代价敏感学习和集成方法来解决样本不平衡问题;并利用迁移学习、贝叶斯优化和数据模拟技术来克服小样本限制。【结果及结论】未来的研究应在算法与模型创新、跨学科研究以及实时监测与预测系统的开发等方面进行深入探索,以进一步提高预测的准确性和效率,确保煤矿安全生产。

     

    Abstract: This paper reviews the main technologies in coal and gas outburst prediction, including the application of machine learning and optimization algorithms, focusing on the current technical challenges, their solutions, and future research directions.Current research shows that machine learning techniques, such as Support Vector Machines(SVM),Random Forests(RF),Artificial Neural Networks(ANN),and deep learning models, have been widely applied to real-time evaluation of gas concentration prediction.Machine learning models can effectively handle large-scale datasets, analyze nonlinear relationships within the data, and improve prediction accuracy and efficiency.However, data scarcity, sample imbalance, and small sample issues remain major challenges in coal and gas outburst prediction.To address these issues, the paper proposes data augmentation, data cleaning, and cross-mine data sharing to improve data quality; by resampling techniques, cost-sensitive learning, and ensemble methods, sample imbalance is addressed; and by transfer learning, Bayesian optimization, and data simulation techniques, small sample limitation is overcome.Future research should delve into algorithm and model innovation, interdisciplinary studies, and the development of real-time monitoring and prediction systems to further enhance prediction accuracy and efficiency, ensuring the safe mining of coal mines.

     

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