基于BP神经网络的煤矿高压供电系统电容电流预测研究

Capacitance current prediction of high voltage power supply system for coal mine based on BP neural network

  • 摘要: 【目的】在煤矿生产规模不断扩大和电网建设日趋智能化的背景下,针对煤矿高压供电系统电容电流预测精度低和计算误差大的问题,提出了一种煤矿高压供电系统电容电流智能预测方法。【方法】根据部分现有电缆参数,采用BP神经网络建立电容电流的预测模型,进而引入粒子群算法对预测模型进行优化,进行了特征参数选取、数据归一化处理并设计了采用文中方法的预测流程。通过平均相对误差等指标来分析误差大小并评价方法的精度,利用实测数据对电容电流预测方法进行对比分析。【结果】结果表明该方法的相对误差为2.52%。【结论】该方法实现了煤矿高压供电系统电容电流的准确预测,为其智能化预测提供了新思路。

     

    Abstract: Under the background of continuous expansion of coal mine production scale and increasingly intelligent power grid construction,aiming at the problems of low prediction accuracy and large calculation error of capacitance current in high voltage power supply system of coal mine,an intelligent prediction method of capacitance current in high voltage power supply system of coal mine is proposed. According to some existing cable parameters,we use BP neural network to establish the prediction model of capacitance current,and then introduce particle swarm optimization algorithm to optimize the prediction model. The characteristic parameters are selected,the data are normalized,and the prediction process is designed. The average relative error and other indicators are used to analyze the error size and evaluate the accuracy of the method. The capacitance current prediction method is compared and analyzed using the measured data. The results show that the relative error of this method is 2. 52%,realizing the accurate prediction of capacitance current of high voltage power supply system in coal mine,and providing a new idea for its intelligent prediction.

     

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