Abstract: Mine water damage has become the primary issue restricting mine production and threatening mine safety.Although Jiangjiahe Coal Mine has not experienced any water inrush accidents since its establishment, with the increase of goaf area, it may induce water conducting fractures to communicate with the aquifer, causing water inrush hazards.In order to explore the main sources, influential factors, and changing patterns of water inrush in Jiangjiahe Coal Mine, based on the monitoring data of water inrush, precipitation data, and changes in coal mining area in the past decade, the influential factors of water inrush were analyzed, and a water inrush prediction model was established.The results show that the Jurassic Yan'an Formation and Zhiluo Formation above Jiangjiahe Coal Mine are the main sources of water inrush in the mine; The amount of mine water inrush shows a pulse-like change with times, and the factors affecting mine water inrush are complex.The relationship between single factors such as monthly precipitation and goaf area and water inrush is not obvious.The grey Markov model can effectively predict water inrush by treating it as a sequence of data that changes in an orderly manner with times.